Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 17.985972 21.713170 25.842198 30.731114 36.336105 42.535360 49.883622
2025-06-01 12.228102 16.979088 22.821166 30.423826 39.937519 51.326127 65.854944
2025-06-08 8.700820 13.571690 20.089042 29.215273 41.405639 56.852955 77.595470
2025-06-15 7.048309 12.111274 19.367395 30.130670 45.241509 65.216527 93.055793
2025-06-22 5.391324 10.221333 17.633272 29.256730 46.357974 69.861717 103.740160
2025-06-29 4.577290 9.436377 17.330982 30.284343 50.065443 78.090939 119.545141
2025-07-06 3.423188 7.802367 15.410511 28.556995 49.488021 80.150862 126.796638
2025-07-13 2.973249 7.329142 15.295028 29.602000 53.086820 88.329645 143.023774
2025-07-20 2.569426 6.848148 15.075911 30.411366 56.320319 96.083530 158.939871
2025-07-27 2.274596 6.521809 15.075013 31.559198 60.131115 104.854213 176.693108
2025-08-03 1.983587 6.132465 14.888214 32.334020 63.342235 112.816822 193.524046
2025-08-10 1.627650 5.496114 14.111412 31.933578 64.506930 117.582404 205.630387
2025-08-17 1.249990 4.722847 12.992825 30.899268 64.736518 121.255785 216.875728
2025-08-24 0.992802 4.187096 12.295276 30.612580 66.297107 127.249598 232.192901
2025-08-31 0.738236 3.546662 11.219362 29.399037 66.025537 130.127804 242.598338
2025-09-07 0.634988 3.352527 11.172179 30.319092 69.783749 139.989668 264.726388
2025-09-14 0.479239 2.892265 10.350552 29.440758 69.998797 143.714546 276.851050
2025-09-21 0.416944 2.764327 10.383510 30.473538 74.017949 154.279059 300.786197
2025-09-28 0.289997 2.275054 9.288746 28.737484 72.323120 154.542529 307.262541
2025-10-05 0.253140 2.188141 9.356410 29.787768 76.404982 165.433895 332.332211
2025-10-12 0.216549 2.078864 9.331275 30.601197 80.035511 175.639587 356.547548
2025-10-19 0.190778 2.014328 9.436908 31.754755 84.457521 187.488124 384.010998
2025-10-26 0.162648 1.913842 9.400673 32.533419 88.111659 198.032800 409.499615